JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+4 / −1
In a game two players A and B take turns in throwing a pair of fair dice starting with player A and total of scores on the two dice, in each throw is noted. A wins the game if he throws total a of 6 before B throws a total of 7 and B wins the game if he throws a total of 7 before A throws a total of six. The game stops as soon as either of the players wins. The probability of A winning the game is :
- A
- B
- C
- D
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Correct answer: D
- Find the required single-throw probabilities
For a pair of fair dice:
-
Total can occur in so
-
Total can occur in so
Thus:
- On A's turn, probability of success (getting ) is
- On B's turn, probability of success (getting ) is
- Set up the game cycle
A starts first.
A wins immediately on his first throw with probability .
If A fails and B also fails, then the situation resets to the original state.
Probability that both fail in one full round is
=\frac{31}{36}\cdot\frac{5}{6}=rac{155}{216}. $$ 3. **Form the infinite series** A can win: - in round 1: with probability $p$ - after both fail once, then A succeeds: with probability $(1-p)(1-q)p$ - after both fail twice, then A succeeds: with probability $[(1-p)(1-q)]^2p$ - and so on. So, $$P(A)=p\left[1+r+r^2+\cdots\right],$$ where $$r=(1-p)(1-q)=\frac{155}{216}.$$ Using geometric series, $$P(A)=\frac{p}{1-r}.$$ 4. **Compute** $$P(A)=\frac{\frac{5}{36}}{1-\frac{155}{216}} =\frac{\frac{5}{36}}{\frac{61}{216}}.Now,
Hence,
- Check options
The correct option is:
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