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Probability question

2020 · 8 Jan · Shift 1 · Q28
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  5. /2020 · 8 Jan · Shift 1 · Q28

Probability question

2020 · 8 Jan · Shift 1 · Q28

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+4 / −1
Let A and B be two independent events such that P(A) = 13{1 \over 3}31​ and P(B) =16{1 \over 6}61​. Then, which of the following is TRUE?
  1. A
    P(AA∪B)=14P\left( {{A \over {A \cup B}}} \right) = {1 \over 4}P(A∪BA​)=41​
  2. B
    P(AB)=23P\left( {{A \over B}} \right) = {2 \over 3}P(BA​)=32​
  3. C
    P(A′B′)=13P\left( {{{A'} \over {B'}}} \right) = {1 \over 3}P(B′A′​)=31​
  4. D
    P(AB′)=13P\left( {{A \over {B'}}} \right) = {1 \over 3}P(B′A​)=31​
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: D

  1. Interpret the notation

The expressions like P(AB)P\left(\frac{A}{B}\right)P(BA​) mean conditional probability: P(A∣B).P(A\mid B).P(A∣B).

So the options are:

  • A: P(A∣A∪B)=14P(A\mid A\cup B)=\frac14P(A∣A∪B)=41​
  • B: P(A∣B)=23P(A\mid B)=\frac23P(A∣B)=32​
  • C: P(A′∣B′)=13P(A'\mid B')=\frac13P(A′∣B′)=31​
  • D: P(A∣B′)=13P(A\mid B')=\frac13P(A∣B′)=31​

We are given: P(A)=13,P(B)=16,P(A)=\frac13,\qquad P(B)=\frac16,P(A)=31​,P(B)=61​, and A,BA,BA,B are independent.

Hence, P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)=13⋅16=118.P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)=\frac13\cdot\frac16=\frac1{18}.P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)=31​⋅61​=181​.


  1. Check option A

We need: P(A∣A∪B)=P(A∩(A∪B))P(A∪B).P(A\mid A\cup B)=\frac{P(A\cap (A\cup B))}{P(A\cup B)}.P(A∣A∪B)=P(A∪B)P(A∩(A∪B))​.

Since A∩(A∪B)=AA\cap (A\cup B)=AA∩(A∪B)=A, P(A∣A∪B)=P(A)P(A∪B).P(A\mid A\cup B)=\frac{P(A)}{P(A\cup B)}.P(A∣A∪B)=P(A∪B)P(A)​.

Now, P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B) =13+16−118=\frac13+\frac16-\frac1{18}=31​+61​−181​ =618+318−118=818=49.=\frac6{18}+\frac3{18}-\frac1{18}=\frac8{18}=\frac49.=186​+183​−181​=188​=94​.

Therefore, P(A∣A∪B)=1/34/9=13⋅94=34.P(A\mid A\cup B)=\frac{1/3}{4/9}=\frac13\cdot\frac94=\frac34.P(A∣A∪B)=4/91/3​=31​⋅49​=43​.

So option A is false.


  1. Check option B

P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)=1/181/6=16⋅61?P(A\mid B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\frac{1/18}{1/6}=\frac16\cdot\frac61?P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)​=1/61/18​=61​⋅16​? More carefully, 1/181/6=118⋅6=13.\frac{1/18}{1/6}=\frac{1}{18}\cdot 6=\frac13.1/61/18​=181​⋅6=31​.

So option B says 23\frac2332​, but actual value is P(A∣B)=13.P(A\mid B)=\frac13.P(A∣B)=31​. Hence option B is false.

(Also, since AAA and BBB are independent, P(A∣B)=P(A)=13P(A\mid B)=P(A)=\frac13P(A∣B)=P(A)=31​.)


  1. Check option C

We need P(A′∣B′)P(A'\mid B')P(A′∣B′).

Because independence is preserved under complements, A′A'A′ and B′B'B′ are also independent. Hence, P(A′∣B′)=P(A′).P(A'\mid B')=P(A').P(A′∣B′)=P(A′).

Now, P(A′)=1−P(A)=1−13=23.P(A')=1-P(A)=1-\frac13=\frac23.P(A′)=1−P(A)=1−31​=32​.

So, P(A′∣B′)=23.P(A'\mid B')=\frac23.P(A′∣B′)=32​.

Option C says 13\frac1331​, so it is false.


  1. Check option D

We need: P(A∣B′)=P(A∩B′)P(B′).P(A\mid B')=\frac{P(A\cap B')}{P(B')}.P(A∣B′)=P(B′)P(A∩B′)​.

Since AAA and BBB are independent, AAA and B′B'B′ are also independent. Therefore, P(A∣B′)=P(A)=13.P(A\mid B')=P(A)=\frac13.P(A∣B′)=P(A)=31​.

So option D is true.


  1. Conclusion

The only true statement is: D\boxed{\text{D}}D​

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