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Probability question

2014 · Shift 0 · Q35
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Probability question

2014 · Shift 0 · Q35

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+4 / −1
Let AAA and BBB be two events such that P(A∪B‾)=16, P(A∩B)=14P\left( {\overline {A \cup B} } \right) = {1 \over 6},\,P\left( { {A \cap B} } \right) = {1 \over 4}P(A∪B)=61​,P(A∩B)=41​ and P(A‾)=14,P\left( {\overline A } \right) = {1 \over 4},P(A)=41​, where A‾\overline AA stands for the complement of the event AAA. Then the events AAA and BBB are :
  1. A
    independent but not equally likely.
  2. B
    independent and equally likely.
  3. C
    mutually exclusive and independent.
  4. D
    equally likely but not independent.
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: A

  1. Given probabilities

We are given: P(A∪B‾)=16,P\big(\overline{A\cup B}\big)=\frac16,P(A∪B)=61​, P(A∩B)=14,P(A\cap B)=\frac14,P(A∩B)=41​, P(A‾)=14.P(\overline A)=\frac14.P(A)=41​.

We first find P(A)P(A)P(A) and P(A∪B)P(A\cup B)P(A∪B).

  1. Find P(A)P(A)P(A)

Since P(A‾)=1−P(A),P(\overline A)=1-P(A),P(A)=1−P(A), we get P(A)=1−14=34.P(A)=1-\frac14=\frac34.P(A)=1−41​=43​.

  1. Find P(A∪B)P(A\cup B)P(A∪B)

Since P(A∪B‾)=1−P(A∪B),P\big(\overline{A\cup B}\big)=1-P(A\cup B),P(A∪B)=1−P(A∪B), we get P(A∪B)=1−16=56.P(A\cup B)=1-\frac16=\frac56.P(A∪B)=1−61​=65​.

  1. Use union formula to find P(B)P(B)P(B)

We know P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B).P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B).P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B). Substitute the known values: 56=34+P(B)−14.\frac56=\frac34+P(B)-\frac14.65​=43​+P(B)−41​. Now, 34−14=12,\frac34-\frac14=\frac12,43​−41​=21​, so 56=12+P(B).\frac56=\frac12+P(B).65​=21​+P(B). Hence, P(B)=56−12=5−36=26=13.P(B)=\frac56-\frac12=\frac{5-3}{6}=\frac26=\frac13.P(B)=65​−21​=65−3​=62​=31​.

Thus, P(B)=13.P(B)=\frac13.P(B)=31​.

  1. Check if AAA and BBB are independent

For independence, we need P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B).P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B).P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B). Now, P(A)P(B)=34⋅13=14.P(A)P(B)=\frac34\cdot\frac13=\frac14.P(A)P(B)=43​⋅31​=41​. But P(A∩B)=14.P(A\cap B)=\frac14.P(A∩B)=41​. So, P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B).P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B).P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B). Hence, AAA and BBB are independent.

  1. Check if AAA and BBB are equally likely

Two events are equally likely if P(A)=P(B).P(A)=P(B).P(A)=P(B). But P(A)=34,P(B)=13,P(A)=\frac34,\qquad P(B)=\frac13,P(A)=43​,P(B)=31​, and clearly 34≠13.\frac34\ne\frac13.43​=31​. So, they are not equally likely.

  1. Check options
  • A: independent but not equally likely. ✅

  • B: independent and equally likely. ❌

  • C: mutually exclusive and independent. ❌

    Mutually exclusive would require P(A∩B)=0,P(A\cap B)=0,P(A∩B)=0, but here P(A∩B)=14≠0.P(A\cap B)=\frac14\ne 0.P(A∩B)=41​=0.

  • D: equally likely but not independent. ❌

Therefore, the correct option is: A\boxed{\text{A}}A​

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