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Probability question

2020 · Shift 1 · Q23
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  5. /2020 · Shift 1 · Q23

Probability question

2020 · Shift 1 · Q23

JEE AdvancedMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+3 / −1
Let C1 and C2 be two biased coins such that the probabilities of getting head in a single toss are 23{{2 \over 3}}32​ and 13{{1 \over 3}}31​, respectively. Suppose α\alphaα is the number of heads that appear when C1 is tossed twice, independently, and suppose β\betaβ is the number of heads that appear when C2 is tossed twice, independently. Then the probability that the roots of the quadratic polynomial x2 −-− ax +β\betaβ are real and equal, is
  1. A
    4081{{40} \over {81}}8140​
  2. B
    2081{{20} \over {81}}8120​
  3. C
    12{{1} \over {2}}21​
  4. D
    14{{1} \over {4}}41​
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: B

  1. We are given:

    • α\alphaα = number of heads in 2 tosses of coin C1C_1C1​, where P(H)=23P(H)=\frac{2}{3}P(H)=32​.
    • β\betaβ = number of heads in 2 tosses of coin C2C_2C2​, where P(H)=13P(H)=\frac{1}{3}P(H)=31​.
  2. The quadratic polynomial is x2−αx+β.x^2-\alpha x+\beta.x2−αx+β. For its roots to be real and equal, the discriminant must be zero: α2−4β=0.\alpha^2-4\beta=0.α2−4β=0. So we need α2=4β.\alpha^2=4\beta.α2=4β.

  3. Now find possible values of α\alphaα and β\betaβ. Since each is the number of heads in 2 tosses, α,β∈{0,1,2}.\alpha,\beta\in\{0,1,2\}.α,β∈{0,1,2}.

  4. Check which pairs (α,β)(\alpha,\beta)(α,β) satisfy α2=4β.\alpha^2=4\beta.α2=4β. Test possible values of α\alphaα:

    • If α=0\alpha=0α=0, then α2=0\alpha^2=0α2=0, so 4β=0⇒β=04\beta=0 \Rightarrow \beta=04β=0⇒β=0.
    • If α=1\alpha=1α=1, then α2=1\alpha^2=1α2=1, so 4β=14\beta=14β=1, impossible.
    • If α=2\alpha=2α=2, then α2=4\alpha^2=4α2=4, so 4β=4⇒β=14\beta=4 \Rightarrow \beta=14β=4⇒β=1.

    Hence favorable cases are: (α,β)=(0,0)or(2,1).(\alpha,\beta)=(0,0) \quad \text{or} \quad (2,1).(α,β)=(0,0)or(2,1).

  5. Compute probabilities for α\alphaα. Since α∼Binomial(2,23)\alpha\sim \text{Binomial}(2,\tfrac23)α∼Binomial(2,32​):

    • P(α=0)=(13)2=19.P(\alpha=0)=\left(\frac13\right)^2=\frac19.P(α=0)=(31​)2=91​.
    • P(α=2)=(23)2=49.P(\alpha=2)=\left(\frac23\right)^2=\frac49.P(α=2)=(32​)2=94​.
  6. Compute probabilities for β\betaβ. Since β∼Binomial(2,13)\beta\sim \text{Binomial}(2,\tfrac13)β∼Binomial(2,31​):

    • P(β=0)=(23)2=49.P(\beta=0)=\left(\frac23\right)^2=\frac49.P(β=0)=(32​)2=94​.
    • P(β=1)=2⋅13⋅23=49.P(\beta=1)=2\cdot \frac13\cdot \frac23=\frac49.P(β=1)=2⋅31​⋅32​=94​.
  7. Since tosses of C1C_1C1​ and C2C_2C2​ are independent, α\alphaα and β\betaβ are independent. Therefore, P(real and equal roots)=P(α=0,β=0)+P(α=2,β=1).P(\text{real and equal roots})=P(\alpha=0,\beta=0)+P(\alpha=2,\beta=1).P(real and equal roots)=P(α=0,β=0)+P(α=2,β=1).

    So, P=P(α=0)P(β=0)+P(α=2)P(β=1).P= P(\alpha=0)P(\beta=0)+P(\alpha=2)P(\beta=1).P=P(α=0)P(β=0)+P(α=2)P(β=1).

    Substitute values: P=19⋅49+49⋅49P=\frac19\cdot\frac49+\frac49\cdot\frac49P=91​⋅94​+94​⋅94​ =481+1681=\frac{4}{81}+\frac{16}{81}=814​+8116​ =2081.=\frac{20}{81}. =8120​.

  8. Therefore the correct option is 2081\boxed{\frac{20}{81}}8120​​ which is option B.

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