Sign in
12thPass logo
New chatPYQ LibraryDoubtsRank report
Sign in to see Recents

Your guest activity stays on this device

Sign in to save progress →
Sign in

Probability question

2013 · Shift 1 · Q38
Guest · filters and generic practice availableBrowsing as a guest · PYQ filters and generic practice are available. Sign in only for personalised features and saved progress.
  1. PYQ Library
  2. /JEE Advanced
  3. /Mathematics
  4. /Probability
  5. /2013 · Shift 1 · Q38

Probability question

2013 · Shift 1 · Q38

JEE AdvancedMathematicsProbabilityNumerical+4 / −1
Of the three independent events E1,E2{E_1},{E_2}E1​,E2​ and E3,{E_3},E3​, the probability that only E1{E_1}E1​ occurs is α,\alpha ,α, only E2{E_2}E2​ occurs is β\betaβ and only E3{E_3}E3​ occurs is γ.\gamma .γ. Let the probability ppp that none of events E1,E2{E_1},{E_2}E1​,E2​ or E3{E_3}E3​ occurs satisfy the equations (α−2β)p=αβ\left( {\alpha -2\beta } \right)p = \alpha \beta(α−2β)p=αβ and (β−3γ)p=2βγ.\left( {\beta - 3\gamma } \right)p = 2\beta \gamma .(β−3γ)p=2βγ. All the given probabilities are assumed to lie in the interval (0,1)(0, 1)(0,1). Then Pr⁡obability  of  occurrence  of  E1Pr⁡obability  of  occurrence  of  E3{{\Pr obability\,\,of\,\,occurrence\,\,of\,\,{E_1}} \over {\Pr obability\,\,of\,\,occurrence\,\,of\,\,{E_3}}}ProbabilityofoccurrenceofE3​ProbabilityofoccurrenceofE1​​
Numerical answer
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: 6

Step-by-step Solution:

  1. Define Probabilities: Let the probabilities of the three independent events be:

    • P(E1)=xP(E_1) = xP(E1​)=x
    • P(E2)=yP(E_2) = yP(E2​)=y
    • P(E3)=zP(E_3) = zP(E3​)=z

    Then the probabilities of their complements are:

    • P(E1′)=1−xP(E_1') = 1-xP(E1′​)=1−x
    • P(E2′)=1−yP(E_2') = 1-yP(E2′​)=1−y
    • P(E3′)=1−zP(E_3') = 1-zP(E3′​)=1−z
  2. Translate Given Information into Equations: The problem provides definitions for α,β,γ,\alpha, \beta, \gamma,α,β,γ, and ppp. Since the events are independent, we can write:

    •  α=P(only E1 occurs)=P(E1∩E2′∩E3′)=P(E1)P(E2′)P(E3′)=x(1−y)(1−z)\,\alpha = P(\text{only } E_1 \text{ occurs}) = P(E_1 \cap E_2' \cap E_3') = P(E_1)P(E_2')P(E_3') = x(1-y)(1-z)α=P(only E1​ occurs)=P(E1​∩E2′​∩E3′​)=P(E1​)P(E2′​)P(E3′​)=x(1−y)(1−z)
    • β=P(only E2 occurs)=P(E1′∩E2∩E3′)=P(E1′)P(E2)P(E3′)=(1−x)y(1−z)\beta = P(\text{only } E_2 \text{ occurs}) = P(E_1' \cap E_2 \cap E_3') = P(E_1')P(E_2)P(E_3') = (1-x)y(1-z)β=P(only E2​ occurs)=P(E1′​∩E2​∩E3′​)=P(E1′​)P(E2​)P(E3′​)=(1−x)y(1−z)
    • γ=P(only E3 occurs)=P(E1′∩E2′∩E3)=P(E1′)P(E2′)P(E3)=(1−x)(1−y)z\gamma = P(\text{only } E_3 \text{ occurs}) = P(E_1' \cap E_2' \cap E_3) = P(E_1')P(E_2')P(E_3) = (1-x)(1-y)zγ=P(only E3​ occurs)=P(E1′​∩E2′​∩E3​)=P(E1′​)P(E2′​)P(E3​)=(1−x)(1−y)z
    • p=P(none occur)=P(E1′∩E2′∩E3′)=P(E1′)P(E2′)P(E3′)=(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)p = P(\text{none occur}) = P(E_1' \cap E_2' \cap E_3') = P(E_1')P(E_2')P(E_3') = (1-x)(1-y)(1-z)p=P(none occur)=P(E1′​∩E2′​∩E3′​)=P(E1′​)P(E2′​)P(E3′​)=(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)
  3. Analyze the First Given Equation: The first equation is (α−2β)p=αβ(\alpha - 2\beta)p = \alpha \beta(α−2β)p=αβ. Since all probabilities are in (0,1)(0, 1)(0,1), we know α,β,p\alpha, \beta, pα,β,p are non-zero. We can divide by αβp\alpha\beta pαβp: α−2βαβ=1p\frac{\alpha - 2\beta}{\alpha\beta} = \frac{1}{p}αβα−2β​=p1​ 1β−2α=1p\frac{1}{\beta} - \frac{2}{\alpha} = \frac{1}{p}β1​−α2​=p1​ Now, substitute the expressions from Step 2: 1(1−x)y(1−z)−2x(1−y)(1−z)=1(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)\frac{1}{(1-x)y(1-z)} - \frac{2}{x(1-y)(1-z)} = \frac{1}{(1-x)(1-y)(1-z)}(1−x)y(1−z)1​−x(1−y)(1−z)2​=(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)1​ To clear the denominators, multiply the entire equation by (1−x)(1−y)(1−z)xy(1-x)(1-y)(1-z)xy(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)xy: x(1−y)−2y(1−x)=xyx(1-y) - 2y(1-x) = xyx(1−y)−2y(1−x)=xy x−xy−2y+2xy=xyx - xy - 2y + 2xy = xyx−xy−2y+2xy=xy x−2y+xy=xyx - 2y + xy = xyx−2y+xy=xy x−2y=0  ⟹  x=2yx - 2y = 0 \implies x = 2yx−2y=0⟹x=2y

  4. Analyze the Second Given Equation: The second equation is (β−3γ)p=2βγ(\beta - 3\gamma)p = 2\beta\gamma(β−3γ)p=2βγ. Again, we can divide by 2βγp2\beta\gamma p2βγp: β−3γ2βγ=1p\frac{\beta - 3\gamma}{2\beta\gamma} = \frac{1}{p}2βγβ−3γ​=p1​ 12γ−32β=1p\frac{1}{2\gamma} - \frac{3}{2\beta} = \frac{1}{p}2γ1​−2β3​=p1​ Substitute the expressions from Step 2: 12(1−x)(1−y)z−32(1−x)y(1−z)=1(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)\frac{1}{2(1-x)(1-y)z} - \frac{3}{2(1-x)y(1-z)} = \frac{1}{(1-x)(1-y)(1-z)}2(1−x)(1−y)z1​−2(1−x)y(1−z)3​=(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)1​ Multiply the entire equation by 2(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)yz2(1-x)(1-y)(1-z)yz2(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)yz to clear the denominators: y(1−z)−3z(1−y)=2yzy(1-z) - 3z(1-y) = 2yzy(1−z)−3z(1−y)=2yz y−yz−3z+3yz=2yzy - yz - 3z + 3yz = 2yzy−yz−3z+3yz=2yz y−3z+2yz=2yzy - 3z + 2yz = 2yzy−3z+2yz=2yz y−3z=0  ⟹  y=3zy - 3z = 0 \implies y = 3zy−3z=0⟹y=3z

  5. Combine the Results: From Step 3, we found x=2yx = 2yx=2y. From Step 4, we found y=3zy = 3zy=3z. Substituting the second result into the first, we get: x=2(3z)=6zx = 2(3z) = 6zx=2(3z)=6z

  6. Calculate the Required Ratio: The question asks for the value of Probability of occurrence of E1Probability of occurrence of E3\frac{\text{Probability of occurrence of } E_1}{\text{Probability of occurrence of } E_3}Probability of occurrence of E3​Probability of occurrence of E1​​. This ratio is P(E1)P(E3)=xz\frac{P(E_1)}{P(E_3)} = \frac{x}{z}P(E3​)P(E1​)​=zx​. Using the relationship from Step 5, x=6zx=6zx=6z, we have: xz=6zz=6\frac{x}{z} = \frac{6z}{z} = 6zx​=z6z​=6 The problem states that all probabilities are in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). Our result is consistent with this. For example, if z=0.1z=0.1z=0.1, then y=0.3y=0.3y=0.3 and x=0.6x=0.6x=0.6, all of which are valid probabilities.

Final Answer: The required value is 6.

PreviousNext

More from Probability

  • A box B1​ contains 1 white ball, 3 red balls and 2 black balls. Another box B2​ contains 2 white balls, 3 red balls and 4 black balls. A third box B3​ contains 3 white balls, 4 red balls and 5 black balls. If 1…2013 · MCQ
  • A box B1​ contains 1 white ball, 3 red balls and 2 black balls. Another box B2​ contains 2 white balls, 3 red balls and 4 black balls. A third box B3​ contains 3 white balls, 4 red balls and 5 black balls. If 2…2013 · MCQ
  • A ship is fitted with three engines E1​,E2​ and E3​. The engines function independently of each other with respective probabilities 21​,41​ and 41​. For the ship to be operational at least two of its…2012 · Multiple correct
  • Let X and Y be two events such that P(X∣Y)=21​,P(Y∣X)=31​ and P(X∩Y)=61​. Which of the following is (are) correct ?2012 · Multiple correct
  • Four fair dice D1​,D2​,D3​ and D4​; each having six faces numbered 1,2,3,4,5 and 6 are rolled simultaneously. The probability that D4​ shows a number appearing on one of D1​,D2​ and D3​ is2012 · MCQ
  • Let U1​ and U2​ be two urns such that U1​ contains 3 white and 2 red balls, and U2​ contains only 1 white ball. A fair coin is tossed. If head appears then 1 ball is drawn at random from U1​ and put into…2011 · MCQ
  • Let U1​ and U2​ be two urns such that U1​ contains 3 white and 2 red balls, and U2​ contains only 1 white ball. A fair coin is tossed. If head appears then 1 ball is drawn at random from U1​ and put into…2011 · MCQ
  • Let E and F be two independent events. The probability that exactly one of them occurs is 2511​ and the probability of none of them occurring is 252​. If P(T) denotes the probability of occurrence of…2011 · Multiple correct