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Probability question

2025 · 8 Apr · Shift 2 · Q42
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Probability question

2025 · 8 Apr · Shift 2 · Q42

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+4 / −1
If A and B are two events such that P(A)=0.7P(A) = 0.7P(A)=0.7, P(B)=0.4P(B) = 0.4P(B)=0.4 and P(A∩B‾)=0.5P(A \cap \overline{B}) = 0.5P(A∩B)=0.5, where B‾\overline{B}B denotes the complement of B, then P(B∣(A∪B‾))P\left(B \mid (A \cup \overline{B})\right)P(B∣(A∪B)) is equal to
  1. A
    13\frac{1}{3}31​
  2. B
    12\frac{1}{2}21​
  3. C
    14\frac{1}{4}41​
  4. D
    16\frac{1}{6}61​
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: C

  1. Given data

    P(A)=0.7, P(B)=0.4, P(A∩B‾)=0.5P(A)=0.7,\, P(B)=0.4,\, P(A\cap \overline{B})=0.5P(A)=0.7,P(B)=0.4,P(A∩B)=0.5

    We need to find P(B∣(A∪B‾)).P\big(B\mid (A\cup \overline{B})\big).P(B∣(A∪B)).

  2. Find P(A∩B)P(A\cap B)P(A∩B)

    Since A=(A∩B)∪(A∩B‾),A=(A\cap B)\cup (A\cap \overline{B}),A=(A∩B)∪(A∩B), and these two parts are disjoint, P(A)=P(A∩B)+P(A∩B‾).P(A)=P(A\cap B)+P(A\cap \overline{B}).P(A)=P(A∩B)+P(A∩B).

    So, P(A∩B)=0.7−0.5=0.2.P(A\cap B)=0.7-0.5=0.2.P(A∩B)=0.7−0.5=0.2.

  3. Find the numerator

    By definition, P(B∣(A∪B‾))=P(B∩(A∪B‾))P(A∪B‾).P\big(B\mid (A\cup \overline{B})\big)=\frac{P\big(B\cap (A\cup \overline{B})\big)}{P(A\cup \overline{B})}.P(B∣(A∪B))=P(A∪B)P(B∩(A∪B))​.

    Now, B∩(A∪B‾)=(B∩A)∪(B∩B‾).B\cap (A\cup \overline{B})=(B\cap A)\cup (B\cap \overline{B}).B∩(A∪B)=(B∩A)∪(B∩B).

    But B∩B‾=∅,B\cap \overline{B}=\varnothing,B∩B=∅, so B∩(A∪B‾)=A∩B.B\cap (A\cup \overline{B})=A\cap B.B∩(A∪B)=A∩B.

    Hence numerator: P(B∩(A∪B‾))=P(A∩B)=0.2.P\big(B\cap (A\cup \overline{B})\big)=P(A\cap B)=0.2.P(B∩(A∪B))=P(A∩B)=0.2.

  4. Find the denominator

    Use P(A∪B‾)=P(A)+P(B‾)−P(A∩B‾).P(A\cup \overline{B})=P(A)+P(\overline{B})-P(A\cap \overline{B}).P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B).

    Since P(B‾)=1−P(B)=1−0.4=0.6,P(\overline{B})=1-P(B)=1-0.4=0.6,P(B)=1−P(B)=1−0.4=0.6, we get P(A∪B‾)=0.7+0.6−0.5=0.8.P(A\cup \overline{B})=0.7+0.6-0.5=0.8.P(A∪B)=0.7+0.6−0.5=0.8.

  5. Compute the conditional probability

    P(B∣(A∪B‾))=0.20.8=0.25=14.P\big(B\mid (A\cup \overline{B})\big)=\frac{0.2}{0.8}=0.25=\frac{1}{4}.P(B∣(A∪B))=0.80.2​=0.25=41​.

  6. Match with options

    14\frac{1}{4}41​ corresponds to Option C.

  7. Comparison with stored answer

    Stored correct answer: C

    Derived answer: C

    So they agree.

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