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Probability question

2024 · 6 Apr · Shift 2 · Q59
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Probability question

2024 · 6 Apr · Shift 2 · Q59

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityNumerical+4 / −1
From a lot of 12 items containing 3 defectives, a sample of 5 items is drawn at random. Let the random variable XXX denote the number of defective items in the sample. Let items in the sample be drawn one by one without replacement. If variance of XXX is mn\frac{m}{n}nm​, where gcd⁡(m,n)=1\operatorname{gcd}(m, n)=1gcd(m,n)=1, then n−mn-mn−m is equal to ‾\underline{\hspace{2cm}}​.
Numerical answer
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: 71

  1. Identify the distribution

Since 5 items are drawn without replacement from 12 items containing 3 defectives, the number of defectives in the sample, XXX, follows a hypergeometric distribution with:

  • Population size: N=12N=12N=12
  • Number of defectives in population: K=3K=3K=3
  • Sample size: r=5r=5r=5

So, X∼Hypergeometric(N=12,K=3,r=5).X \sim \text{Hypergeometric}(N=12,K=3,r=5).X∼Hypergeometric(N=12,K=3,r=5).

  1. Use the variance formula for hypergeometric distribution

For a hypergeometric random variable, Var⁡(X)=r⋅KN(1−KN)⋅N−rN−1.\operatorname{Var}(X)=r\cdot \frac{K}{N}\left(1-\frac{K}{N}\right)\cdot \frac{N-r}{N-1}.Var(X)=r⋅NK​(1−NK​)⋅N−1N−r​.

Substitute the values: Var⁡(X)=5⋅312(1−312)⋅12−512−1.\operatorname{Var}(X)=5\cdot \frac{3}{12}\left(1-\frac{3}{12}\right)\cdot \frac{12-5}{12-1}.Var(X)=5⋅123​(1−123​)⋅12−112−5​.

  1. Simplify step by step

First, 312=14,1−14=34.\frac{3}{12}=\frac14, \qquad 1-\frac14=\frac34.123​=41​,1−41​=43​.

Also, 12−512−1=711.\frac{12-5}{12-1}=\frac{7}{11}.12−112−5​=117​.

Therefore, Var⁡(X)=5⋅14⋅34⋅711.\operatorname{Var}(X)=5\cdot \frac14\cdot \frac34\cdot \frac{7}{11}.Var(X)=5⋅41​⋅43​⋅117​.

Now, 14⋅34=316.\frac14\cdot \frac34=\frac{3}{16}.41​⋅43​=163​.

Hence, \operatorname{Var}(X)=5\cdot \frac{3}{16}\cdot \frac{7}{11}= rac{105}{176}.

Thus, mn=105176.\frac{m}{n}=\frac{105}{176}.nm​=176105​.

Since gcd⁡(105,176)=1\gcd(105,176)=1gcd(105,176)=1, we get m=105,n=176.m=105,\quad n=176.m=105,n=176.

  1. Compute n−mn-mn−m

n−m=176−105=71.n-m=176-105=71.n−m=176−105=71.

  1. Comparison with stored answer

Stored correct answer = 71, which matches our result.

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