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Probability question

2024 · 27 Jan · Shift 2 · Q34
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  5. /2024 · 27 Jan · Shift 2 · Q34

Probability question

2024 · 27 Jan · Shift 2 · Q34

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+4 / −1
An urn contains 6 white and 9 black balls. Two successive draws of 4 balls are made without replacement. The probability, that the first draw gives all white balls and the second draw gives all black balls, is :
  1. A
    3256\frac{3}{256}2563​
  2. B
    5256\frac{5}{256}2565​
  3. C
    3715\frac{3}{715}7153​
  4. D
    5715\frac{5}{715}7155​
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: C

  1. Total balls in the urn

There are:

  • 666 white balls
  • 999 black balls

So total balls =15= 15=15.

Two successive draws of 444 balls each are made without replacement.

We need:

  • first draw: all 444 are white
  • second draw: all 444 are black

  1. Probability that first draw gives 4 white balls

Out of 151515 balls, we draw 444 balls.

Number of ways to draw any 444 balls: (154)\binom{15}{4}(415​)

Number of favorable ways to draw 444 white balls from 666 white balls: (64)\binom{6}{4}(46​)

So, P(first draw all white)=(64)(154)P(\text{first draw all white}) = \frac{\binom{6}{4}}{\binom{15}{4}}P(first draw all white)=(415​)(46​)​


  1. Probability that second draw gives 4 black balls given first draw was all white

After drawing 444 white balls, remaining balls are:

  • white: 6−4=26-4=26−4=2
  • black: 999

So remaining total balls =11=11=11.

Now second draw is of 444 balls from these 111111 balls.

Number of ways to draw any 444 balls: (114)\binom{11}{4}(411​)

Number of favorable ways to draw 444 black balls from 999 black balls: (94)\binom{9}{4}(49​)

Thus, P(second draw all black∣first draw all white)=(94)(114)P(\text{second draw all black} \mid \text{first draw all white}) = \frac{\binom{9}{4}}{\binom{11}{4}}P(second draw all black∣first draw all white)=(411​)(49​)​


  1. Multiply the probabilities

Required probability: P=(64)(154)⋅(94)(114)P = \frac{\binom{6}{4}}{\binom{15}{4}} \cdot \frac{\binom{9}{4}}{\binom{11}{4}}P=(415​)(46​)​⋅(411​)(49​)​

Now compute values: (64)=15,(154)=1365\binom{6}{4}=15, \quad \binom{15}{4}=1365(46​)=15,(415​)=1365 (94)=126,(114)=330\binom{9}{4}=126, \quad \binom{11}{4}=330(49​)=126,(411​)=330

So, P=151365⋅126330P = \frac{15}{1365} \cdot \frac{126}{330}P=136515​⋅330126​

Simplify: 151365=191,126330=2155\frac{15}{1365} = \frac{1}{91}, \quad \frac{126}{330} = \frac{21}{55}136515​=911​,330126​=5521​

Hence, P=191⋅2155=215005=3715P = \frac{1}{91}\cdot \frac{21}{55} = \frac{21}{5005} = \frac{3}{715}P=911​⋅5521​=500521​=7153​


  1. Check the options

The required probability is: 3715\boxed{\frac{3}{715}}7153​​

So the correct option is: C.

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