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Correct answer: 14
- Given situation
There are balls of different colours, so each draw can result in any one of colours with equal probability.
Since drawing is with replacement, all draws are independent.
- Find
Two balls are drawn in succession with replacement.
We need the probability that both balls are of the same colour.
- First ball can be of any colour.
- For the second ball to match the first, the probability is .
Hence,
- Find
Now balls are drawn in succession with replacement.
We need the probability that exactly three balls are of the same colour.
This means the colour pattern is:
- one colour appears exactly times,
- another different colour appears exactly time.
Let us count this carefully.
Step 1: Choose the colour that appears 3 times
There are choices.
Step 2: Choose the colour that appears 1 time
There are remaining choices.
Step 3: Choose the position of the odd ball
Among the draws, choose which one is the single different-colour ball:
So total favourable sequences:
Total possible sequences of draws:
Therefore,
- Find the ratio
Multiply both terms by :
So,
Hence,
- Compare with stored answer
Our derived answer is , which matches the stored correct answer.
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