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Probability question

2023 · 30 Jan · Shift 2 · Q42
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  5. /2023 · 30 Jan · Shift 2 · Q42

Probability question

2023 · 30 Jan · Shift 2 · Q42

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityNumerical+4 / −1
A bag contains six balls of different colours. Two balls are drawn in succession with replacement. The probability that both the balls are of the same colour is p. Next four balls are drawn in succession with replacement and the probability that exactly three balls are of the same colour is qqq. If p:q=m:np: q=m: np:q=m:n, where mmm and nnn are coprime, then m+nm+nm+n is equal to :
Numerical answer
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: 14

  1. Given situation

There are 666 balls of different colours, so each draw can result in any one of 666 colours with equal probability.

Since drawing is with replacement, all draws are independent.


  1. Find ppp

Two balls are drawn in succession with replacement.

We need the probability that both balls are of the same colour.

  • First ball can be of any colour.
  • For the second ball to match the first, the probability is 16\frac{1}{6}61​.

Hence,

p=16p = \frac{1}{6}p=61​
  1. Find qqq

Now 444 balls are drawn in succession with replacement.

We need the probability that exactly three balls are of the same colour.

This means the colour pattern is:

  • one colour appears exactly 333 times,
  • another different colour appears exactly 111 time.

Let us count this carefully.

Step 1: Choose the colour that appears 3 times

There are 666 choices.

Step 2: Choose the colour that appears 1 time

There are 555 remaining choices.

Step 3: Choose the position of the odd ball

Among the 444 draws, choose which one is the single different-colour ball:

(41)=4\binom{4}{1} = 4(14​)=4

So total favourable sequences:

6⋅5⋅4=1206 \cdot 5 \cdot 4 = 1206⋅5⋅4=120

Total possible sequences of 444 draws:

64=12966^4 = 129664=1296

Therefore,

q=1201296=554q = \frac{120}{1296} = \frac{5}{54}q=1296120​=545​
  1. Find the ratio p:qp:qp:q
p:q=16:554p:q = \frac{1}{6} : \frac{5}{54}p:q=61​:545​

Multiply both terms by 545454:

p:q=9:5p:q = 9:5p:q=9:5

So,

m=9,n=5m = 9, \quad n = 5m=9,n=5

Hence,

m+n=9+5=14m+n = 9+5 = 14m+n=9+5=14
  1. Compare with stored answer

Our derived answer is 141414, which matches the stored correct answer.

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