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Probability question

2022 · 24 Jun · Shift 1 · Q25
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  5. /2022 · 24 Jun · Shift 1 · Q25

Probability question

2022 · 24 Jun · Shift 1 · Q25

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+4 / −1
Bag A contains 2 white, 1 black and 3 red balls and bag B contains 3 black, 2 red and n white balls. One bag is chosen at random and 2 balls drawn from it at random, are found to be 1 red and 1 black. If the probability that both balls come from Bag A is 611{6 \over {11}}116​, then n is equal to ‾\underline{\hspace{2cm}}​.
  1. A
    13
  2. B
    6
  3. C
    4
  4. D
    3
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: C

  1. Define the events

Let:

  • AAA = the chosen bag is Bag A
  • BBB = the chosen bag is Bag B
  • EEE = the two drawn balls are one red and one black

Since one bag is chosen at random, P(A)=P(B)=12.P(A)=P(B)=\frac12.P(A)=P(B)=21​.

We are given: P(A∣E)=611.P(A\mid E)=\frac{6}{11}.P(A∣E)=116​.

We will use Bayes' theorem: P(A∣E)=P(A)P(E∣A)P(A)P(E∣A)+P(B)P(E∣B).P(A\mid E)=\frac{P(A)P(E\mid A)}{P(A)P(E\mid A)+P(B)P(E\mid B)}.P(A∣E)=P(A)P(E∣A)+P(B)P(E∣B)P(A)P(E∣A)​.

Since P(A)=P(B)=12P(A)=P(B)=\tfrac12P(A)=P(B)=21​, this becomes P(E∣A)P(E∣A)+P(E∣B)=611.\frac{P(E\mid A)}{P(E\mid A)+P(E\mid B)}=\frac{6}{11}.P(E∣A)+P(E∣B)P(E∣A)​=116​.


  1. Find P(E∣A)P(E\mid A)P(E∣A)

Bag A contains:

  • 222 white
  • 111 black
  • 333 red

Total balls in Bag A = 666.

We want the probability of drawing exactly one red and one black when 2 balls are drawn.

Number of favorable ways: (31)(11)=3.\binom31\binom11=3.(13​)(11​)=3.

Total ways to draw 2 balls from 6: (62)=15.\binom62=15.(26​)=15.

So, P(E∣A)=315=15.P(E\mid A)=\frac{3}{15}=\frac15.P(E∣A)=153​=51​.


  1. Find P(E∣B)P(E\mid B)P(E∣B)

Bag B contains:

  • 333 black
  • 222 red
  • nnn white

Total balls in Bag B = n+5n+5n+5.

Favorable ways for one red and one black: (21)(31)=2⋅3=6.\binom21\binom31=2\cdot 3=6.(12​)(13​)=2⋅3=6.

Total ways to draw 2 balls: (n+52)=(n+5)(n+4)2.\binom{n+5}{2}=\frac{(n+5)(n+4)}{2}.(2n+5​)=2(n+5)(n+4)​.

Thus, P(E\mid B)=\frac{6}{\binom{n+5}{2}}= rac{12}{(n+5)(n+4)}.


  1. Apply the given conditional probability

We have P(E∣A)P(E∣A)+P(E∣B)=611.\frac{P(E\mid A)}{P(E\mid A)+P(E\mid B)}=\frac{6}{11}.P(E∣A)+P(E∣B)P(E∣A)​=116​.

Substitute the values: 1515+12(n+5)(n+4)=611.\frac{\frac15}{\frac15+\frac{12}{(n+5)(n+4)}}=\frac{6}{11}.51​+(n+5)(n+4)12​51​​=116​.

Cross-multiply: 11⋅15=6(15+12(n+5)(n+4)).11\cdot \frac15 = 6\left(\frac15+\frac{12}{(n+5)(n+4)}\right).11⋅51​=6(51​+(n+5)(n+4)12​).

So, 115=65+72(n+5)(n+4).\frac{11}{5}=\frac{6}{5}+\frac{72}{(n+5)(n+4)}.511​=56​+(n+5)(n+4)72​.

Hence, 55=72(n+5)(n+4)\frac{5}{5}=\frac{72}{(n+5)(n+4)}55​=(n+5)(n+4)72​ 1=72(n+5)(n+4).1=\frac{72}{(n+5)(n+4)}.1=(n+5)(n+4)72​.

Therefore, (n+5)(n+4)=72.(n+5)(n+4)=72.(n+5)(n+4)=72.

Expand: n2+9n+20=72n^2+9n+20=72n2+9n+20=72 n2+9n−52=0.n^2+9n-52=0.n2+9n−52=0.

Factorize: (n+13)(n−4)=0.(n+13)(n-4)=0.(n+13)(n−4)=0.

So, n=−13orn=4.n=-13 \quad \text{or} \quad n=4.n=−13orn=4.

Since the number of white balls cannot be negative, n=4.n=4.n=4.


  1. Check with options

The correct option is: 4\boxed{4}4​ which is Option C.

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