Sign in
12thPass logo
New chatPYQ LibraryDoubtsRank report
Sign in to see Recents

Your guest activity stays on this device

Sign in to save progress →
Sign in

Probability question

2015 · Shift 2 · Q24
Guest · filters and generic practice availableBrowsing as a guest · PYQ filters and generic practice are available. Sign in only for personalised features and saved progress.
  1. PYQ Library
  2. /JEE Advanced
  3. /Mathematics
  4. /Probability
  5. /2015 · Shift 2 · Q24

Probability question

2015 · Shift 2 · Q24

JEE AdvancedMathematicsProbabilityMultiple correct+4 / −1
Let n1{n_1}n1​ and n2{n_2}n2​ be the number of red and black balls, respectively, in box I{\rm I}I. Let n3{n_3}n3​ and n4{n_4}n4​ be the number of red and black balls, respectively, in box II.{\rm I}{\rm I}.II. One of the two boxes, box I{\rm I}I and box II,{\rm I}{\rm I},II, was selected at random and a ball was drawn randomly out of this box. The ball was found to be red. If the probability that this red ball was drawn from box II{\rm I}{\rm I}II is 13,{1 \over 3},31​, then the correct option(s) with the possible values of n1n2,n3{n_1}{n_2},{n_3}n1​n2​,n3​ and n4{n_4}n4​ is (are)
  1. A
    n1=3,n2=3,n3=5,n4=15{n_1} = 3,{n_2} = 3,{n_3} = 5,{n_4} = 15n1​=3,n2​=3,n3​=5,n4​=15
  2. B
    n1=3,n2=6,n3=10,n4=50{n_1} = 3,{n_2} = 6,{n_3} = 10,{n_4} = 50n1​=3,n2​=6,n3​=10,n4​=50
  3. C
    n1=8,n2=6,n3=5,n4=20{n_1} = 8,{n_2} = 6,{n_3} = 5,{n_4} = 20n1​=8,n2​=6,n3​=5,n4​=20
  4. D
    n1=6,n2=12,n3=5,n4=20{n_1} = 6,{n_2} = 12,{n_3} = 5,{n_4} = 20n1​=6,n2​=12,n3​=5,n4​=20
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: A, B

Step-by-step Solution

  1. Define the events:

    • Let E1E_1E1​ be the event of selecting box I.
    • Let E2E_2E2​ be the event of selecting box II.
    • Let RRR be the event of drawing a red ball.
  2. State the given probabilities:

    • Since one of the two boxes is selected at random, the probability of selecting each box is: P(E1)=12P(E_1) = {1 \over 2}P(E1​)=21​ P(E2)=12P(E_2) = {1 \over 2}P(E2​)=21​
    • The conditional probabilities of drawing a red ball from each box are:
      • From box I: P(R∣E1)=n1n1+n2P(R|E_1) = {{{n_1}} \over {{n_1} + {n_2}}}P(R∣E1​)=n1​+n2​n1​​
      • From box II: P(R∣E2)=n3n3+n4P(R|E_2) = {{{n_3}} \over {{n_3} + {n_4}}}P(R∣E2​)=n3​+n4​n3​​
  3. Formulate the problem using Bayes' Theorem:

    • We are given that the ball drawn is red, and the probability that it came from box II is 13{1 \over 3}31​. This can be written as: P(E2∣R)=13P(E_2|R) = {1 \over 3}P(E2​∣R)=31​
    • According to Bayes' Theorem: P(E2∣R)=P(R∣E2)P(E2)P(R∣E1)P(E1)+P(R∣E2)P(E2)P(E_2|R) = {{P(R|E_2)P(E_2)} \over {P(R|E_1)P(E_1) + P(R|E_2)P(E_2)}}P(E2​∣R)=P(R∣E1​)P(E1​)+P(R∣E2​)P(E2​)P(R∣E2​)P(E2​)​
  4. Substitute the probabilities and solve for the condition:

    • Substitute the known values into the formula: 13=n3n3+n4⋅12n1n1+n2⋅12+n3n3+n4⋅12{1 \over 3} = {{{{{n_3}} \over {{n_3} + {n_4}}} \cdot {1 \over 2}} \over {{{{n_1}} \over {{n_1} + {n_2}}} \cdot {1 \over 2} + {{{n_3}} \over {{n_3} + {n_4}}} \cdot {1 \over 2}}}31​=n1​+n2​n1​​⋅21​+n3​+n4​n3​​⋅21​n3​+n4​n3​​⋅21​​
    • Cancel out the 12{1 \over 2}21​ term from the numerator and denominator: 13=n3n3+n4n1n1+n2+n3n3+n4{1 \over 3} = {{{{{n_3}} \over {{n_3} + {n_4}}}} \over {{{{n_1}} \over {{n_1} + {n_2}}} + {{{n_3}} \over {{n_3} + {n_4}}}}}31​=n1​+n2​n1​​+n3​+n4​n3​​n3​+n4​n3​​​
    • Let's simplify this by letting p1=P(R∣E1)=n1n1+n2p_1 = P(R|E_1) = {{{n_1}} \over {{n_1} + {n_2}}}p1​=P(R∣E1​)=n1​+n2​n1​​ and p2=P(R∣E2)=n3n3+n4p_2 = P(R|E_2) = {{{n_3}} \over {{n_3} + {n_4}}}p2​=P(R∣E2​)=n3​+n4​n3​​. The equation becomes: 13=p2p1+p2{1 \over 3} = {{{p_2}} \over {{p_1} + {p_2}}}31​=p1​+p2​p2​​
    • Cross-multiplying gives: p1+p2=3p2{p_1} + {p_2} = 3{p_2}p1​+p2​=3p2​ p1=2p2{p_1} = 2{p_2}p1​=2p2​
    • This is the condition that must be satisfied by the values of n1,n2,n3,n_1, n_2, n_3,n1​,n2​,n3​, and n4n_4n4​. In other words: n1n1+n2=2⋅n3n3+n4{{{n_1}} \over {{n_1} + {n_2}}} = 2 \cdot {{{n_3}} \over {{n_3} + {n_4}}}n1​+n2​n1​​=2⋅n3​+n4​n3​​
  5. Check each option against the derived condition:

    • Option A: n1=3,n2=3,n3=5,n4=15{n_1} = 3,{n_2} = 3,{n_3} = 5,{n_4} = 15n1​=3,n2​=3,n3​=5,n4​=15

      • LHS: p1=33+3=36=12{p_1} = {3 \over {3 + 3}} = {3 \over 6} = {1 \over 2}p1​=3+33​=63​=21​
      • RHS: 2p2=2⋅55+15=2⋅520=2⋅14=122{p_2} = 2 \cdot {{5} \over {5 + 15}} = 2 \cdot {5 \over {20}} = 2 \cdot {1 \over 4} = {1 \over 2}2p2​=2⋅5+155​=2⋅205​=2⋅41​=21​
      • Since LHS = RHS, option A is correct.
    • Option B: n1=3,n2=6,n3=10,n4=50{n_1} = 3,{n_2} = 6,{n_3} = 10,{n_4} = 50n1​=3,n2​=6,n3​=10,n4​=50

      • LHS: p1=33+6=39=13{p_1} = {3 \over {3 + 6}} = {3 \over 9} = {1 \over 3}p1​=3+63​=93​=31​
      • RHS: 2p2=2⋅1010+50=2⋅1060=2⋅16=132{p_2} = 2 \cdot {{10} \over {10 + 50}} = 2 \cdot {{10} \over {60}} = 2 \cdot {1 \over 6} = {1 \over 3}2p2​=2⋅10+5010​=2⋅6010​=2⋅61​=31​
      • Since LHS = RHS, option B is correct.
    • Option C: n1=8,n2=6,n3=5,n4=20{n_1} = 8,{n_2} = 6,{n_3} = 5,{n_4} = 20n1​=8,n2​=6,n3​=5,n4​=20

      • LHS: p1=88+6=814=47{p_1} = {8 \over {8 + 6}} = {8 \over {14}} = {4 \over 7}p1​=8+68​=148​=74​
      • RHS: 2p2=2⋅55+20=2⋅525=2⋅15=252{p_2} = 2 \cdot {{5} \over {5 + 20}} = 2 \cdot {5 \over {25}} = 2 \cdot {1 \over 5} = {2 \over 5}2p2​=2⋅5+205​=2⋅255​=2⋅51​=52​
      • Since 47≠25{4 \over 7} \neq {2 \over 5}74​=52​, option C is incorrect.
    • Option D: n1=6,n2=12,n3=5,n4=20{n_1} = 6,{n_2} = 12,{n_3} = 5,{n_4} = 20n1​=6,n2​=12,n3​=5,n4​=20

      • LHS: p1=66+12=618=13{p_1} = {6 \over {6 + 12}} = {6 \over {18}} = {1 \over 3}p1​=6+126​=186​=31​
      • RHS: 2p2=2⋅55+20=2⋅525=2⋅15=252{p_2} = 2 \cdot {{5} \over {5 + 20}} = 2 \cdot {5 \over {25}} = 2 \cdot {1 \over 5} = {2 \over 5}2p2​=2⋅5+205​=2⋅255​=2⋅51​=52​
      • Since 13≠25{1 \over 3} \neq {2 \over 5}31​=52​, option D is incorrect.

Conclusion

The options that satisfy the condition p1=2p2{p_1} = 2{p_2}p1​=2p2​ are A and B.

PreviousNext

More from Probability

  • Let n1​ and n2​ be the number of red and black balls, respectively, in box I. Let n3​ and n4​ be the number of red and black balls, respectively, in box II. A ball is drawn at random from box I…2015 · Multiple correct
  • Three boys and two girls stand in a queue. The probability, that the number of boys ahead of every girl is at least one more than the number of girls ahead of her, is2014 · MCQ
  • Box 1 contains three cards bearing numbers 1,2,3; box 2 contains five cards bearing numbers 1,2,3,4,5; and box 3 contains seven cards bearing numbers 1,2,3,4,5,6,7. A card is drawn from each of the boxes. Let xi​ be number…2014 · MCQ
  • Box 1 contains three cards bearing numbers 1,2,3; box 2 contains five cards bearing numbers 1,2,3,4,5; and box 3 contains seven cards bearing numbers 1,2,3,4,5,6,7. A card is drawn from each of the boxes. Let xi​ be number…2014 · MCQ
  • Four persons independently solve a certain problem correctly with probabilities 21​,43​,41​,81​. Then the probability that the problem is solved correctly by at least one of them is2013 · MCQ
  • Of the three independent events E1​,E2​ and E3​, the probability that only E1​ occurs is α, only E2​ occurs is β and only E3​ occurs is γ. Let the probability p that none of events…2013 · Numerical
  • A box B1​ contains 1 white ball, 3 red balls and 2 black balls. Another box B2​ contains 2 white balls, 3 red balls and 4 black balls. A third box B3​ contains 3 white balls, 4 red balls and 5 black balls. If 1…2013 · MCQ
  • A box B1​ contains 1 white ball, 3 red balls and 2 black balls. Another box B2​ contains 2 white balls, 3 red balls and 4 black balls. A third box B3​ contains 3 white balls, 4 red balls and 5 black balls. If 2…2013 · MCQ