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Probability question

2021 · 1 Sep · Shift 2 · Q38
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Probability question

2021 · 1 Sep · Shift 2 · Q38

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityNumerical+4 / −1
Let X be a random variable with distribution.

x −-− 2 −-− 1 3 4 6
P(X = x) 15{1 \over 5}51​ a 13{1 \over 3}31​ 15{1 \over 5}51​ b


If the mean of X is 2.3 and variance of X is σ\sigmaσ2, then 100 σ\sigmaσ2 is equal to :
Numerical answer
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: 781

  1. Given distribution

The random variable XXX takes values −2,",−1, 3, 4, 6-2,",-1,\,3,\,4,\,6−2,",−1,3,4,6 with probabilities P(X=−2)=15,P(X=−1)=a,P(X=3)=13,P(X=4)=15,P(X=6)=b.P(X=-2)=\frac15,\quad P(X=-1)=a,\quad P(X=3)=\frac13,\quad P(X=4)=\frac15,\quad P(X=6)=b.P(X=−2)=51​,P(X=−1)=a,P(X=3)=31​,P(X=4)=51​,P(X=6)=b.

Also, the mean is E[X]=2.3=2310.E[X]=2.3=\frac{23}{10}.E[X]=2.3=1023​.

We need to find the variance σ2\sigma^2σ2 and then compute 100σ2100\sigma^2100σ2.


  1. Use total probability = 1

Since probabilities sum to 111, 15+a+13+15+b=1.\frac15+a+\frac13+\frac15+b=1.51​+a+31​+51​+b=1.

Now, 15+15=25,25+13=6+515=1115.\frac15+\frac15=\frac25, \qquad \frac25+\frac13=\frac{6+5}{15}=\frac{11}{15}.51​+51​=52​,52​+31​=156+5​=1511​.

So, a+b=1-\frac{11}{15}=\frac{4}{15}. \tag{1}


  1. Use the mean

E[X]=∑xP(X=x).E[X]=\sum xP(X=x).E[X]=∑xP(X=x).

So, (−2)⋅15+(−1)⋅a+3⋅13+4⋅15+6b=2310.(-2)\cdot\frac15+(-1)\cdot a+3\cdot\frac13+4\cdot\frac15+6b=\frac{23}{10}.(−2)⋅51​+(−1)⋅a+3⋅31​+4⋅51​+6b=1023​.

Simplify the known terms:

\qquad 3\cdot\frac13=1, \qquad 4\cdot\frac15=\frac45.$$ Thus, $$-\frac25-a+1+\frac45+6b=\frac{23}{10}.$$ $$\left(-\frac25+1+\frac45\right)-a+6b=\frac{23}{10}.$$ $$\frac{7}{5}-a+6b=\frac{23}{10}. $$ Hence, $$-a+6b=\frac{23}{10}-\frac{7}{5}= rac{23}{10}-\frac{14}{10}=\frac{9}{10}. \tag{2}$$ --- 4. **Solve for $a$ and $b$** From (1), $$a=\frac{4}{15}-b.$$ Substitute into (2): $$-\left(\frac{4}{15}-b\right)+6b=\frac{9}{10}.$$ $$-\frac{4}{15}+b+6b=\frac{9}{10}.$$ $$7b=\frac{9}{10}+\frac{4}{15}.$$ Take LCM $30$: $$\frac{9}{10}=\frac{27}{30},\qquad \frac{4}{15}=\frac{8}{30}.$$ So, $$7b=\frac{35}{30}=\frac76.$$ Therefore, $$b=\frac16.$$ Then, $$a=\frac{4}{15}-\frac16=\frac{8-5}{30}=\frac{3}{30}=\frac{1}{10}.$$ So the full distribution is: $$P(X=-2)=\frac15, \quad P(X=-1)=\frac{1}{10}, \quad P(X=3)=\frac13, \quad P(X=4)=\frac15, \quad P(X=6)=\frac16.$$ --- 5. **Compute $E[X^2]$** $$E[X^2]=\sum x^2P(X=x).$$ So, $$E[X^2]=(-2)^2\cdot\frac15+(-1)^2\cdot\frac{1}{10}+3^2\cdot\frac13+4^2\cdot\frac15+6^2\cdot\frac16.$$ Now calculate each term: $$4\cdot\frac15=\frac45,$$ $$1\cdot\frac{1}{10}=\frac{1}{10},$$ $$9\cdot\frac13=3,$$ $$16\cdot\frac15=\frac{16}{5},$$ $$36\cdot\frac16=6.$$ Thus, $$E[X^2]=\frac45+\frac{1}{10}+3+\frac{16}{5}+6.$$ Convert to denominator $10$: $$\frac45=\frac{8}{10},\qquad \frac{16}{5}=\frac{32}{10}.$$ So, $$E[X^2]=\frac{8}{10}+\frac{1}{10}+3+\frac{32}{10}+6 =\frac{41}{10}+9 =\frac{41}{10}+\frac{90}{10} =\frac{131}{10}.$$ --- 6. **Compute variance** $$\sigma^2=E[X^2]-(E[X])^2.$$ We have $$E[X^2]=\frac{131}{10},\qquad E[X]=\frac{23}{10}.$$ Hence, $$\sigma^2=\frac{131}{10}-\left(\frac{23}{10}\right)^2 =\frac{131}{10}-\frac{529}{100}.$$ $$\frac{131}{10}=\frac{1310}{100}.$$ Therefore, $$\sigma^2=\frac{1310-529}{100}=\frac{781}{100}.$$ So, $$100\sigma^2=781.$$ --- 7. **Final answer** $$\boxed{781}$$ This matches the stored correct answer.
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