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Probability question

2005 · Shift 0 · Q88
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Probability question

2005 · Shift 0 · Q88

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+4 / −1
A random variable XXX has Poisson distribution with mean 222. Then P(X>1.5)P\left( {X \gt 1.5} \right)P(X>1.5) equals :
  1. A
    2e2{2 \over {{e^2}}}e22​
  2. B
    000
  3. C
    1−3e21 - {3 \over {{e^2}}}1−e23​
  4. D
    3e2{3 \over {{e^2}}}e23​
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: C

  1. Given distribution

A Poisson random variable with mean 222 has parameter λ=2.\lambda = 2.λ=2. So, P(X=k)=e−22kk!,k=0,1,2,…P(X=k)=\frac{e^{-2}2^k}{k!}, \qquad k=0,1,2,\dotsP(X=k)=k!e−22k​,k=0,1,2,…

  1. Interpret the event X>1.5X>1.5X>1.5

Since XXX is a discrete random variable taking only integer values, X>1.5  ⟺  X≥2.X>1.5 \iff X\ge 2.X>1.5⟺X≥2.

Therefore, P(X>1.5)=P(X≥2).P(X>1.5)=P(X\ge 2).P(X>1.5)=P(X≥2).

  1. Use complement

P(X≥2)=1−P(X=0)−P(X=1).P(X\ge 2)=1-P(X=0)-P(X=1).P(X≥2)=1−P(X=0)−P(X=1).

Now, P(X=0)=e−2200!=e−2,P(X=0)=\frac{e^{-2}2^0}{0!}=e^{-2},P(X=0)=0!e−220​=e−2,

and P(X=1)=e−2211!=2e−2.P(X=1)=\frac{e^{-2}2^1}{1!}=2e^{-2}.P(X=1)=1!e−221​=2e−2.

So, P(X≥2)=1−e−2−2e−2=1−3e−2=1−3e2.P(X\ge 2)=1-e^{-2}-2e^{-2}=1-3e^{-2}=1-\frac{3}{e^2}.P(X≥2)=1−e−2−2e−2=1−3e−2=1−e23​.

  1. Match with the options

The value is 1−3e2,1-\frac{3}{e^2},1−e23​, which corresponds to Option C.

  1. Comparison with stored answer

Stored correct answer: C

This matches our derived answer.

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