- A
- B
- C
- D
View written solutionFree
Correct answer: C
Step-by-step Solution:
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Start with the definition of conditional probability. We want to find the value of . The formula for conditional probability is . Applying this to our problem, we get: We are given that , so the denominator is non-zero.
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Simplify the numerator using set theory and probability rules. First, we use De Morgan's Law on the term , which states that . So, the numerator becomes . Using the property , we can write:
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Expand the term . Using the distributive property of set intersection over union, we have . So, . Now, we apply the principle of inclusion-exclusion for two events, . The last term simplifies to . So,
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Use the given information about the events. We are given that are pairwise independent. This implies:
- We are also given that .
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Substitute the given information into the expression. Substituting these into the equation from Step 3:
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Calculate the numerator . From Step 2, we have . Substituting the result from Step 5:
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Calculate the final conditional probability. Now we substitute this back into the formula from Step 1: Since , we can cancel from the numerator and denominator:
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Match the result with the given options. We know that the probability of a complement event is . Substituting this into our result: This matches option C.
Alternative Approach:
Consider the probability space conditioned on G. Let . We want to find .
- Since E and G are independent, .
- Similarly, since F and G are independent, .
- Given , we have .
- This means that in the conditioned space, events E and F are mutually exclusive.
- We need to find .
- .
- Therefore, .
- Rewriting this, we get . This confirms the previous result.
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