Sign in
12thPass logo
New chatPYQ LibraryDoubtsRank report
Sign in to see Recents

Your guest activity stays on this device

Sign in to save progress →
Sign in

Probability question

2024 · Shift 1 · Q19
Guest · filters and generic practice availableBrowsing as a guest · PYQ filters and generic practice are available. Sign in only for personalised features and saved progress.
  1. PYQ Library
  2. /JEE Advanced
  3. /Mathematics
  4. /Probability
  5. /2024 · Shift 1 · Q19

Probability question

2024 · Shift 1 · Q19

JEE AdvancedMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+3 / −1
A student appears for a quiz consisting of only true-false type questions and answers all the questions. The student knows the answers of some questions and guesses the answers for the remaining questions. Whenever the student knows the answer of a question, he gives the correct answer. Assume that the probability of the student giving the correct answer for a question, given that he has guessed it, is 12\frac{1}{2}21​. Also assume that the probability of the answer for a question being guessed, given that the student's answer is correct, is 16\frac{1}{6}61​. Then the probability that the student knows the answer of a randomly chosen question is :
  1. A
    112\frac{1}{12}121​
  2. B
    17\frac{1}{7}71​
  3. C
    57\frac{5}{7}75​
  4. D
    512\frac{5}{12}125​
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: C

Let

  • KKK = event that the student knows the answer,
  • GGG = event that the student guesses the answer,
  • CCC = event that the student's answer is correct.

Since the student either knows or guesses, P(K)+P(G)=1.P(K)+P(G)=1.P(K)+P(G)=1.

We are given:

  1. P(C∣G)=12P(C\mid G)=\frac{1}{2}P(C∣G)=21​
  2. P(G∣C)=16P(G\mid C)=\frac{1}{6}P(G∣C)=61​
  3. If the student knows the answer, he is always correct, so P(C∣K)=1.P(C\mid K)=1.P(C∣K)=1.

We need to find P(K)P(K)P(K).


Step 1: Let P(K)=pP(K)=pP(K)=p

Then P(G)=1−p.P(G)=1-p.P(G)=1−p.

Now compute P(C)P(C)P(C) using total probability: P(C)=P(C∣K)P(K)+P(C∣G)P(G).P(C)=P(C\mid K)P(K)+P(C\mid G)P(G).P(C)=P(C∣K)P(K)+P(C∣G)P(G). Substituting the given values, P(C)=1⋅p+12(1−p).P(C)=1\cdot p+\frac{1}{2}(1-p).P(C)=1⋅p+21​(1−p). So, P(C)=p+12−p2=1+p2.P(C)=p+\frac{1}{2}-\frac{p}{2}=\frac{1+p}{2}.P(C)=p+21​−2p​=21+p​.


Step 2: Use the condition P(G∣C)=16P(G\mid C)=\frac{1}{6}P(G∣C)=61​

By conditional probability, P(G∣C)=P(G∩C)P(C).P(G\mid C)=\frac{P(G\cap C)}{P(C)}.P(G∣C)=P(C)P(G∩C)​.

Now, P(G∩C)=P(C∣G)P(G)=12(1−p).P(G\cap C)=P(C\mid G)P(G)=\frac{1}{2}(1-p).P(G∩C)=P(C∣G)P(G)=21​(1−p). Hence, 12(1−p)1+p2=16.\frac{\frac{1}{2}(1-p)}{\frac{1+p}{2}}=\frac{1}{6}.21+p​21​(1−p)​=61​.

Cancel 12\frac{1}{2}21​ from numerator and denominator: 1−p1+p=16.\frac{1-p}{1+p}=\frac{1}{6}.1+p1−p​=61​.


Step 3: Solve for ppp

Cross-multiplying, 6(1−p)=1+p.6(1-p)=1+p.6(1−p)=1+p. So, 6−6p=1+p,6-6p=1+p,6−6p=1+p, 5=7p,5=7p,5=7p, p=57.p=\frac{5}{7}.p=75​.

Thus, P(K)=57.P(K)=\frac{5}{7}.P(K)=75​.


Step 4: Match with options

The correct option is: C 57\boxed{\text{C } \frac{5}{7}}C 75​​

PreviousNext

More from Probability

  • Let X be a random variable, and let P(X=x) denote the probability that X takes the value x. Suppose that the points (x,P(X=x)),x=0,1,2,3,4, lie on a fixed straight line in the xy-plane, and P(X=x)=0 for all x∈R−{0,1,2,3,4}…2024 · Numerical
  • A bag contains N balls out of which 3 balls are white, 6 balls are green, and the remaining balls are blue. Assume that the balls are identical otherwise. Three balls are drawn randomly one after the other without replacement. For i=1,2,3…2024 · Numerical
  • Let X={(x,y)∈Z×Z:8x2​+20y2​<1 and y2<5x}. Three distinct points P,Q and R are randomly chosen from X. Then the probability that P,Q and R…2023 · MCQ
  • Consider an experiment of tossing a coin repeatedly until the outcomes of two consecutive tosses are same. If the probability of a random toss resulting in head is 31​, then the probability that the experiment stops with head is :2023 · MCQ
  • Let X be the set of all five digit numbers formed using 1,2,2,2,4,4,0. For example, 22240 is in X while 02244 and 44422 are not in X. Suppose that each element of X has an equal chance of being chosen. Let p be the conditional…2023 · Numerical
  • Consider the 6×6 square in the figure. Let A1​,A2​,…,A49​ be the points of intersections (dots in the picture) in some order. We say that Ai​ and Aj​ are friends if they are adjacent along a row or along a column.… Includes diagram2023 · Numerical
  • Consider the 6×6 square in the figure. Let A1​,A2​,…,A49​ be the points of intersections (dots in the picture) in some order. We say that Ai​ and Aj​ are friends if they are adjacent along a row or along a column.… Includes diagram2023 · Numerical
  • In a study about a pandemic, data of 900 persons was collected. It was found that 190 persons had symptom of fever, 220 persons had symptom of cough, 220 persons had symptom of breathing problem, 330 persons had symptom of fever or cough…2022 · Numerical