JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityMCQ+4 / −1
Three urns A, B and C contain 7 red, 5 black; 5 red, 7 black and 6 red, 6 black balls, respectively. One of the urn is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. If the ball drawn is black, then the probability that it is drawn from urn is :
- A
- B
- C
- D
View written solutionFree
Correct answer: C
- Define events
Let:
- = urn is selected
- = urn is selected
- = urn is selected
- = the drawn ball is black
Since one urn is selected at random,
- Find probability of drawing a black ball from each urn
-
Urn has red and black balls, total .
-
Urn has red and black balls, total .
-
Urn has red and black balls, total .
- Find total probability of drawing a black ball
By the law of total probability,
So,
P(K)=\frac{5}{36}+\frac{7}{36}+\frac{1}{6}=rac{12}{36}+\frac{6}{36}=\frac{18}{36}=\frac{1}{2}.
- Apply Bayes' theorem
We need :
Substitute values:
- Match with the options
So the correct option is C.
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