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Permutations and Combinations question

2020 · 5 Sep · Shift 1 · Q25
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  5. /2020 · 5 Sep · Shift 1 · Q25

Permutations and Combinations question

2020 · 5 Sep · Shift 1 · Q25

JEE MainMathematicsPermutations and CombinationsNumerical+4 / −1
Four fair dice are thrown independently 27 times. Then the expected number of times, at least two dice show up a three or a five, is ‾\underline{\hspace{2cm}}​.
Numerical answer
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: 11

  1. Define the event

Let success mean:

In one throw of 4 fair dice, at least 2 dice show either 3 or 5.

For a single die:

  • Favorable outcomes for “3 or 5” are {3,5}\{3,5\}{3,5}, so p=26=13p = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}p=62​=31​
  • Hence, q=1−p=23q = 1-p = \frac{2}{3}q=1−p=32​

So for 4 dice, the number of dice showing 3 or 5 follows a binomial distribution: X∼Binomial(4,13)X \sim \text{Binomial}(4,\tfrac13)X∼Binomial(4,31​)

We need P(X≥2)=P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)P(X \ge 2) = P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)P(X≥2)=P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)


  1. Compute the required probability

P(X=2)=(42)(13)2(23)2P(X=2)=\binom{4}{2}\left(\frac13\right)^2\left(\frac23\right)^2P(X=2)=(24​)(31​)2(32​)2 =6⋅19⋅49=2481=827=6\cdot \frac19\cdot \frac49=\frac{24}{81}=\frac{8}{27}=6⋅91​⋅94​=8124​=278​

P(X=3)=(43)(13)3(23)P(X=3)=\binom{4}{3}\left(\frac13\right)^3\left(\frac23\right)P(X=3)=(34​)(31​)3(32​) =4⋅127⋅23=881=4\cdot \frac{1}{27}\cdot \frac23=\frac{8}{81}=4⋅271​⋅32​=818​

P(X=4)=(44)(13)4=181P(X=4)=\binom{4}{4}\left(\frac13\right)^4=\frac{1}{81}P(X=4)=(44​)(31​)4=811​

Therefore, P(X≥2)=2481+881+181=3381=1127P(X\ge 2)=\frac{24}{81}+\frac{8}{81}+\frac{1}{81}=\frac{33}{81}=\frac{11}{27}P(X≥2)=8124​+818​+811​=8133​=2711​


  1. Expected number in 27 independent trials

If this experiment is repeated 27 times, and each time success probability is 1127\frac{11}{27}2711​, then the expected number of successes is

E=np=27⋅1127=11E = n p = 27 \cdot \frac{11}{27} = 11E=np=27⋅2711​=11


  1. Final answer

The expected number of times is 11\boxed{11}11​

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