- A
- B
- C
- D
View written solutionFree
Correct answer: C
- Define events
Let:
- = original signal is green
- = original signal is red
- = station receives green
Given:
Each station receives/transmits correctly with probability: So, each station makes an error with probability:
We need to find: using Bayes' theorem.
- Find
If the original signal is green, then for station to finally receive green, two possible paths exist:
-
receives green correctly and transmits it correctly to :
-
receives it wrongly as red, and then receives that wrongly as green:
Hence,
- Find
If the original signal is red, then for station to receive green, two possible paths exist:
-
receives red correctly, but receives it wrongly as green:
-
receives red wrongly as green, and receives green correctly:
Thus,
- Find total probability that receives green
By total probability,
So,
- Apply Bayes' theorem
Substitute values:
- Match with options
corresponds to Option C.
- Comparison with stored answer
Stored correct answer: C
Our derived answer: C
So, the answer agrees with the stored correct answer.
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