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Probability question

2022 · 27 Jun · Shift 2 · Q44
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  5. /2022 · 27 Jun · Shift 2 · Q44

Probability question

2022 · 27 Jun · Shift 2 · Q44

JEE MainMathematicsProbabilityNumerical+4 / −1
Let S = {E1, E2, ........., E8} be a sample space of a random experiment such that P(En)=n36P({E_n}) = {n \over {36}}P(En​)=36n​ for every n = 1, 2, ........, 8. Then the number of elements in the set {A⊆S:P(A)≥45}\left\{ {A \subseteq S:P(A) \ge {4 \over 5}} \right\}{A⊆S:P(A)≥54​} is ‾\underline{\hspace{2cm}}​.
Numerical answer
View written solutionFree

Correct answer: 19

  1. Given probabilities of elementary outcomes

The sample space is S={E1,E2,…,E8}S=\{E_1,E_2,\dots,E_8\}S={E1​,E2​,…,E8​} and P({En})=n36,n=1,2,…,8.P(\{E_n\})=\frac{n}{36},\qquad n=1,2,\dots,8.P({En​})=36n​,n=1,2,…,8.

So the probabilities are: 136,236,336,436,536,636,736,836.\frac{1}{36},\frac{2}{36},\frac{3}{36},\frac{4}{36},\frac{5}{36},\frac{6}{36},\frac{7}{36},\frac{8}{36}.361​,362​,363​,364​,365​,366​,367​,368​.

Check total probability: 1+2+3+4+5+6+7+836=3636=1.\frac{1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8}{36}=\frac{36}{36}=1.361+2+3+4+5+6+7+8​=3636​=1. So this is valid.


  1. Condition on subset AAA

For any subset A⊆SA\subseteq SA⊆S, P(A)=∑En∈An36.P(A)=\sum_{E_n\in A}\frac{n}{36}.P(A)=∑En​∈A​36n​. We need P(A)≥45.P(A)\ge \frac45.P(A)≥54​. Multiply by 363636: ∑En∈An≥45⋅36=28.8.\sum_{E_n\in A} n \ge \frac45\cdot 36=28.8.∑En​∈A​n≥54​⋅36=28.8. Since the left side is an integer, this means ∑En∈An≥29.\sum_{E_n\in A} n \ge 29.∑En​∈A​n≥29.

So we must count subsets of {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8}\{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8\}{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8} whose element-sum is at least 292929.


  1. Use complement counting

The total sum is 1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8=36.1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8=36.1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8=36.

Let the complement of AAA be AcA^cAc. Then ∑n∈An=36−∑n∈Acn.\sum_{n\in A} n = 36-\sum_{n\in A^c} n.∑n∈A​n=36−∑n∈Ac​n. Condition ∑n∈An≥29\sum_{n\in A} n\ge 29∑n∈A​n≥29 is equivalent to 36−∑n∈Acn≥29,36-\sum_{n\in A^c} n \ge 29,36−∑n∈Ac​n≥29, so ∑n∈Acn≤7.\sum_{n\in A^c} n \le 7.∑n∈Ac​n≤7.

Thus the required number of subsets AAA equals the number of subsets of {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8}\{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8\}{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8} whose sum is at most 777.

Since any element bigger than 777 cannot appear in such a subset, we only need subsets of {1,2,3,4,5,6,7}\{1,2,3,4,5,6,7\}{1,2,3,4,5,6,7} with sum ≤7\le 7≤7.


  1. List all subsets with sum ≤7\le 7≤7

We count by sum.

  • Sum 000: ∅\varnothing∅ Count = 1

  • Sum 111: {1}\{1\}{1} Count = 1

  • Sum 222: {2}\{2\}{2} Count = 1

  • Sum 333: {3},{1,2}\{3\},\{1,2\}{3},{1,2} Count = 2

  • Sum 444: {4},{1,3}\{4\},\{1,3\}{4},{1,3} Count = 2

  • Sum 555: {5},{1,4},{2,3}\{5\},\{1,4\},\{2,3\}{5},{1,4},{2,3} Count = 3

  • Sum 666: {6},{1,5},{2,4},{1,2,3}\{6\},\{1,5\},\{2,4\},\{1,2,3\}{6},{1,5},{2,4},{1,2,3} Count = 4

  • Sum 777: {7},{1,6},{2,5},{3,4},{1,2,4}\{7\},\{1,6\},\{2,5\},\{3,4\},\{1,2,4\}{7},{1,6},{2,5},{3,4},{1,2,4} Count = 5

Total number of such subsets: 1+1+1+2+2+3+4+5=19.1+1+1+2+2+3+4+5=19.1+1+1+2+2+3+4+5=19.


  1. Conclusion

Hence the number of subsets A⊆SA\subseteq SA⊆S such that P(A)≥45P(A)\ge \frac45P(A)≥54​ is 19.\boxed{19}.19​.


  1. Comparison with stored answer

Stored correct answer = 191919.

Our derived answer is also 191919, so they agree.

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